Kind of a tough race, but I like a few in here enough. Secret Compass won the Chandelier (I) last out after whittling down the very nice She’s A Tiger. I also like Artemis Agrotera, who gets the inside break and has a lot of speed. Sweet Reason was much the best in the Frizette (I) and could be sent early and win this.
- Top 3 Picks in Order: 1) Artemis Agrotera 2) Sweet Reason 3) Secret Compass
- Contest Pick: Artemis Agrotera
Filly & Mare Turf
After the domination game yesterday, I am even more biased to go with a European horse. As much as I love Laughing [IRE], I think she’ll get caught this time going beyond her favorite distance of a mile, and more than a few horses here could do that. Forever a Juddmonte ‘capper, I like Romantica [GB], but Dank [GB] is more than good enough— although I’m not a fan of getting an inner post for them. Tiz Flirtacious gets a familiar post to go back-to-back since winning the Rodeo (I) last out.
- Top 3 Picks in Order: 1) Romantica [GB] 2) Dank [GB] 3) Tiz Fliratcious
- Contest Pick: Romantica [GB]
Filly & Mare Sprint
Really classy race, but I know who I like. Dance to Bristol has been game all year and fell victim to a wide trip and a rail bias her last race. Judy the Beauty is real fantastic this year, and I sense another good race in her here. Groupie Doll looks to be back on her A game and could pounce to repeat.
- Top 3 Picks in Order: 1) Dance to Bristol 2) Judy the Beauty 3) Groupie Doll
- Contest Pick: Dance to Bristol
I saw exactly what I wanted from Mizdirection in her warmups, but she will likely be a short price. Spring to the Sky interests the heck out of me as a longshot, and he’s been working very well lately too. Jeranimo is a personal favorite and game athlete that I have to use as well.
- Top 3 Picks in Order: 1) Mizdirection 2) Jeranimo 3) Spring to the Sky
- Contest Pick: Jeranimo
Before the bias, I clearly liked Tap It Rich, but I’m not 100% sure a one-race winner can conquer the class step-up right off the bat with it now. Second to that horse, I also really liked Mexikoma, and I still do as a horse who could keep on improving and already likes the front end. Strong Mandate could improve, as he likes this distance and might get a better, unstrangled ride this time.
Top 3 Picks in Order: 1) Mexikoma 2) Strong Mandate 3) Tap It Rich
Contest Pick: Mexikoma
With a clean trip, The Fugue [GB] is a tour-de-force to win by my account. Point of Entry is our best chance to have an American horse win, but I’m still very wary of his return back with a leg full of pins into a very steep race. Little Mike gets a vote of confidence after his impressive Joe Hirsch and can do it again. Twilight Eclipse is a dish if he keeps his 20-1 ML as a horse who *loves* this distance.
- Top 3 Picks in Order: 1) The Fugue [GB] 2) Little Mike 3) Point of Entry
- Contest Pick: Twilight Eclipse
I love Justin Phillip the most here, but he may again fall victim to speed bias as a horse who likes to come from off the pace, plus he’s placed on the rail where he could get stuck. I’m going to get over a mistake I made yesterday by NOT skipping over a horse I always thought was being stretched out too far as a Derby horse, so I’m picking Secret Circle on top as a horse keen to keep improving with speed to get to the front early. Gentlemen’s Bet is better than his last two races suggest turning back to dirt, and could proven golden as he’s the quickest horse set to hum off the inside. Trinniberg's been looking great this week in his workouts, and really, his form is probably better than recent races have suggested too.
- Top 3 Picks in Order: 1) Secret Circle 2) Gentlemen’s Bet 3) Trinniberg
- Contest Pick: Gentlemen’s Bet
Wise Dan is again the horse to beat here… can he be beaten on firm ground? I don’t think so, but I’ve always really liked Za Approval— the lone Clement entry of the Breeders’ Cup races— and Silentio.
- Top 3 Picks in Order: 1) Wise Dan 2) Za Approval 3) Silentio
- Contest Pick: Za Approval
An even more convoluted race with the speed bias on tap, things could get messy in a power struggle for the lead and a fight set to emerge in the stretch. Game On Dude is the horse to beat, and as long as Bob Baffert can survive the 72-hour surveillance test, he’ll again be hard to beat shooting to be close to that lead. Fort Larned is a total beast with speed to burn, and if given the right trip, he’s nearly unstoppable. As much as Palace Malice has to gain— his Trakus figures put him ahead of Ron the Greek in the JCGC where he ran a winning race anyway against the bias— I have to nod towards Moreno who gets an inner post and likes to shoot for the lead early. Maybe he’ll get it, maybe he won’t, but outside the bias, Will Take Charge is the best three-year-old here. Declaration of War is flippin interesting, and I’ll be watching him the whole time.
- Top 3 Picks in Order: 1) Game On Dude 2) Fort Larned 3) Will Take Charge
- Contest Pick: Fort Larned