Weekend Stake Tip: The Robin Flies

No betting for me… I’m saving my current bankroll for Breeders’ Cup! The race of the week went better than I thought; a super tough race to figure out, the Raven Run (II) at Keeneland fell to the dominant Gypsy Robin who I sent off as my second choice. First choice/value pick Drama Drama, who went off at a crazy 22-1 was too far back but closed like crazy to be third and just missed the place by 1/2 length. Third choice Mercy Lou (55-1) had an odd start, went super wide, and closed from way back just like I predicted to be 6th (4th-6th were tightly bunched as well). If anything, watch this race for the beautiful foliage at Keeneland.
I feel much better now about my picking business as we get closer to the Breeders’ Cup. SLUMP IS GONE! /knocks on wood
I don’t normally tell you guys how hard a time I’m having with a particular race, but oh my god that one was a stickler. When that happens, I do my don’t-look-at-the-morning-line handicapping analysis, then I go read/watch expert opinions which somehow helps me clarify my “feels.” DRF liked Via Villaggio, while others seemed to like Yankee Union who I thought was okay, but I couldn’t make sense out of their thoughts! Expert handicappers sometime pick really weird horses and don’t really explain why, which I kind of need from them or else I wind up thinking they’re full of bologna. I guess it’s why I detest the talky DRF and enjoy the on-track handicappers at Gulfstream Park and the NYRA.
While Gypsy Robin enjoyed what looked like an easy romp, Belmont Park was abuzz with their New York-bred stakes program and the Empire Classic setup for a thrilling showdown between 5-year-old Juddmonte speedster Lunar Victory and Bill Parcell’s late-blooming 3-year-old Saratoga Snacks. I was personally hoping for a Snacks win, but he certainly did not discredit himself after the intense, back-and-forth stretch duel against his elder. And then of course, if you haven’t caught Frankel’s final race in the Champion Stakes (ENG-I), he made his fans proud and raucous at Ascot breaking badly then rallying to catch Cirrus des Aigles on soft ground.




Cirrus des Aigles wasn’t seen as much of a contender in comparison to the rest of the field in the QIPCO Champions Stakes (I), the climax race of Champions Day at Ascot, but boy did this gelding fire when it counted.