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Bold Ruler defeats Clem at Belmont Park in 1958. The race is either the Toboggan Handicap or the Suburban Handicap. (Photo by NYRA/Bob Coglianese)

Bold Ruler defeats Clem at Belmont Park in 1958. The race is either the Toboggan Handicap or the Suburban Handicap. (Photo by NYRA/Bob Coglianese)

Food for Derby thought: In the 1970s, trainer Lou Rondinello would receive stock to train from top quality stamina sires to prepare for the Triple Crown, but would never work them fast. His nickname?: “Fifty-Two Lou.” His strategy seemed to work out okay with the 1974 Preakness and Belmont winner Little Current, who finished 5th in the Kentucky Derby after being dead last for most of the race.

Food for Derby thought: In the 1970s, trainer Lou Rondinello would receive stock to train from top quality stamina sires to prepare for the Triple Crown, but would never work them fast. His nickname?: “Fifty-Two Lou.” His strategy seemed to work out okay with the 1974 Preakness and Belmont winner Little Current, who finished 5th in the Kentucky Derby after being dead last for most of the race.

I’ll Have Another: Charging Toward History

I agree. It's ridiculously biased (not to mention uneducated and negative) that Union Rags' Belmont win is off the ballot, yet something so fickle as a /scratch/ could possibly be entertained as the biggest moment of the year. Pure madness... thanks for posting.

Asked by horseracingchick

:) Oh goody. I was secretly worried someone might have told me I was the biased one in suggesting I would have preferred a Union Rags-Paynter battle ballot for the Belmont. I’ve long been a hardcore, stubborn Rags fan who wanted him to win and believed he could even while IHA was still planned to race.

I may be biased on how high I rank the Belmont when I do my “best/most exciting races of the year” countdown, but honestly I think that’s about it.

Derby Watch: Hope for Invasor

Last year presented the very first crop to race from the seemingly unstoppable, globe-trotting sensation Invasor [ARG], who deflected top fields whether he was in Dubai or California or just about anywhere else. Unfortunately, we have barely seen anything worthwhile come from this champion— his biggest claim to fame was Five Sixteen, a one-time winner who raced 5th in the Belmont and was runner-up to Street Life in the Curlin Stakes. Feeling a bit downtrodden at this poor note, there is some good news on the horizon for fans of the Argentinian beast in recent maiden winner Saint Arthur.

A New York-bred, the odds of Saint Arthur succeeding are already stacked against him as a son of Invasor [ARG], but it’s his game mindset that makes him a fitting underdog. He chased a doozy of a pace in his debut race at Saratoga to finish 3rd, missing the win by just a length. From there he shipped to Finger Lakes to make his stakes debut in the full Aspirant Stakes barely two weeks later, breaking slow to make the lead at the half and tired late after making up ground early. Three weeks later, he was entered in another well-filled Finger Lakes stake for the 6-furlong New York Breeders’ Futurity, getting glued to the inside to finish 3rd beaten a smidgen for the place and only 1 1/4 lengths for the win.

Returning to upper-crust Belmont at 25-1 odds, he changed tactics slightly by gunning for the lead right away in the 7-furlong Bertram Bongard Stakes— an important New York-bred prep won by Funny Cide in the past— but was caught in the stretch by heavy favorite Weekend Hideaway and finished strong to place in the race off by 2. After drilling the fastest of 55 works at the 4-furlong distance at Belmont, he at long last won an Aqueduct MSW on Saturday, wiring the field while out-dueling Pleasure Principle the whole way, the two keeping some 8-9 lengths between them and the rest of the field.

Further down south, another interesting Invasor is making progress towards his first win. Raced three times at three very different tracks (Turfway, Keeneland on grass, and Calder’s dirt course), Succesful Brothers has an annoying misspelled name, but sports a very unusual pedigree and flight path. His dam is Contagious [GB], an unsuccessful turf racer by Polar Falcon, a Nureyev son who was a graded stakes winner in Europe. Contagious has produced a winner in her first foal One Thousand is a half to group III winner Headstrong [IRE]. Any further research about Contagious’s dam Rash [GB] turns up empty.

Last out at Calder, he closed from the rear of the 7-furlong test after a poor start and went wide to be 2nd. The crowd favored him well enough to make him the post-time favorite, but he could not reach bomber Narvarez, who paid an enormous $87.20 for a $2 win bet. Trained by juvie pro Wesley Ward, this chestnut colt’s last race was a mild move to be 5th in a 9-furlong turf maiden race and he cut his teeth on Turfway’s all-weather over a mile to be 2nd. He’s just got to be close to a win by now…

Whether or not these two can accomplish enough improvement in time to earn some essential Derby points is the biggest question of all, with Saint Arthur being a speedster and Succesful Brothers sitting back. Invasor [ARG] has gotten an extremely slow start despite his list of impressive accolades… while he liked to sit off the pace a while in his races, can he catch up off the track?

Canonero II before his Triple Crown run in the 1977 Belmont (I). Pure awesome in a little bay horse. (Photo from LIFE Magazine archives)

Canonero II before his Triple Crown run in the 1977 Belmont (I). Pure awesome in a little bay horse. (Photo from LIFE Magazine archives)

Make way, lowly peasants! To Honor and Serve needs that rail in the Woodward (I)! (Photo by Skip Dickstein)

Make way, lowly peasants! To Honor and Serve needs that rail in the Woodward (I)! (Photo by Skip Dickstein)

The best girl in the world after winning the Le Slew Stakes— Awesome Feather! (Photo by NYRA)

The best girl in the world after winning the Le Slew Stakes— Awesome Feather! (Photo by NYRA)

Working on the Travers (I) this morning… would someone care to tell me why Five Sixteen is everyone’s favorite longshot? His Curlin effort was good but is he really going to bloom big late?

Working on the Travers (I) this morning… would someone care to tell me why Five Sixteen is everyone’s favorite longshot? His Curlin effort was good but is he really going to bloom big late?

Weekend Stake Tip: Mucho the Man

Not the best of weekends, but you can’t win ‘em all. The Suburban (II) proved indeed to be a hard race to figure out, though I was glad to see the DRF’s ridiculous pick in Buffum not work out. SWEAR TO GOD, they could say anyone could win and that horse will be bet to death far more than they should have been. Notable victorious wagers were spreads on Game On Dude, Richard’s Kid, and Kettle Corn in the Hollywood Gold Cup (I) and Marketing Mix in the Dance Smartly. Most regrettably, I missed an opportunity I would have definitely taken betting on Winter Memories’ sister, La Cloche (Ghostzapper), who won the Voodoo Dancer Stakes at Belmont on Sunday. Aw!

This coming weekend I hope to change things up a bit by making some Pick 3s and Pick 4s, going horizontal instead of vertical. I might try that repeatedly-carried over Belmont Pick 6 on Thursday, who knows!

The best race of the weekend was arguably one of the toughest to handicap. The Suburban Handicap (II) has a storied tradition of producing greats, and this year, it attracted a nice field of 8 with three G1 winners and for the most part, a ton of good value all around. Favorite To Honor and Serve broke better this time from the far outside, and as predicted, speedy Trickmeister set a solid early pace with closer Hymn Book tracking in the rear. I got a little excited that Endorsement (who had ridiculously good odds at 18-1!) was on the verge of a big breakthrough with his pacestalking trip, but unfortunately, the non-Lasix’d entry faded as Hymn Book and Mucho Macho Man surfaced late to pass a defiant Trickmeister. I wonder if Hymn Book had been closer, if the results would have been different, but all in all, Mucho Macho Man ran a deserving winning race as the only Florida-bred in the field, a boy who used to lose his shoes to a man who wins with heart. I’m also wondering what is to be done with Stay Thirsty, who unlike some, I never gave much of a chance. Race replay below

As I mentioned, I had a pretty terrible start to Saturday and after the Suburban fell through for me, I just decided to take a walk, even after looking at some promising odds for Turbo Compressor (at the time 6-1, at post 5-2) in the United Nations Stakes (I). Yes, I was going to bet on him, a rail horse bent on pace-setting a 1 3/8-mile grass race, but I didn’t. Agh, I should have! While Slim Shadey [GB] was debatably the horse to beat at this type of race with a potential upsetter in Arch Support, Turbo Compressor set up cozy fractions while being too far out in front to be caught at the end— a setup far too perfect for him, and in a nice G1 that gives him a free pass into the Breeders’ Cup Turf (I). Now whether Pletcher can keep him fit, that’s another question. Watch race replay here.

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Tracks visited: Calder, Saratoga, Belmont, Suffolk.


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